Like a lot of the questions we chase at Passerine Finance, this one began as plain curiosity: if you put the exact same amount into your 401(k) every year, does it matter when during the year you contribute it? Money added in January has more months in the market than money added in December. Repeat that for a career, and how much could the timing alone really be worth?

To find out, picture two coworkers who each max out their 401(k). In 2026 the IRS lets an employee contribute up to $24,500, and both put in exactly that — not a dollar more, not a dollar less. They earn the same salary, get the same paychecks, and invest in the same fund. The only thing they do differently is the calendar.

The first, our front-loader, puts a large, steady amount in through the first half of the year and reaches the $24,500 limit by the end of June, then stops. The second, our even saver, does the ordinary thing: a slice every month, the same amount all year long, so the last dollar goes in with December's pay.

Same dollars, two calendars.

We follow a household earning $180,000, paid monthly (12 pay periods a year), with 3% raises. Each year both savers contribute the IRS maximum, which we grow about 3% a year as the IRS typically does. Their employer offers a common match: 50% of the first 6% of pay, worth up to $5,400 in the first year. We run the whole thing for 20 years, over which — collected in full — that match adds up to about $145,100 in employer money.

We calculate the employee and the employer contributions for each month, just as an employer would, and invest each one at that month's actual market return. Following the money month by month is what surfaced the surprise — so let's do exactly that.

For the market itself we replay the most recent 20 years of real U.S. stock returns, from mid-2006 through May 2026 — a stretch that includes the 2008 crash, the long bull market, the 2020 COVID drop, and the recovery after. Over those two decades the broad market compounded at about 11.5% a year. Both savers ride that same rollercoaster; only their deposit timing differs.

Why we use Fama/French returns, not the S&P 500

Our stock-market history comes from the Fama/French U.S. market research data rather than a commercial S&P 500 dataset. It's a broad measure of the whole U.S. stock market, it's publicly available with a long, well-documented record, and it's the standard series used in academic finance — which is why Passerine uses it across the site. It also sidesteps the licensing restrictions that come with commercial index data. The exact index matters far less here than the comparison between savers, since both experience the same returns. More on this in The Stock-Market Data We Use.

Figure 1 · The two contribution calendars
The same $24,500 goes in — but the match doesn't keep up
Running total of each saver's own contribution and the employer match, month by month, in the first year. Both panels share a scale, so the heights compare directly.
Your contribution (cumulative) Employer match (cumulative)
Front-loaded
Fills the $24,500 limit by June, then stops
Even (throughout the year)
The same amount every month, all year
Both savers' own contributions (dark) climb to exactly $24,500. But look at the match (light): the front-loader's stops growing in June at $2,700, while the even saver's keeps climbing all the way to $5,400. Same money in, a very different amount of free money on top.

Why the match stops for one saver and not the other.

The whole story is in the first-year breakdown. Paid monthly, this worker's gross pay is $15,000 a month. The match is 50% of the first 6% of pay — and 6% of $15,000 is $900 — so the most the employer will add in any single month is 50% of $900, or $450.

MonthFront-loadedEven
You put inMatchYou put inMatch
Jan$4,083$450$2,042$450
Feb$4,083$450$2,042$450
Mar$4,083$450$2,042$450
Apr$4,083$450$2,042$450
May$4,083$450$2,042$450
Jun$4,083$450$2,042$450
Jul$0$0$2,042$450
Aug$0$0$2,042$450
Sep$0$0$2,042$450
Oct$0$0$2,042$450
Nov$0$0$2,042$450
Dec$0$0$2,042$450
Year$24,500$2,700$24,500$5,400

Both savers clear the 6% bar every month they contribute, so both earn the full $450 whenever they put money in. The catch is that phrase — every month they contribute. The even saver puts in $2,042 every month for twelve months and collects $450 twelve times: $5,400. The front-loader puts in twice as much, $4,083 a month, but reaches the $24,500 annual limit in June and then has to stop — so the match stops too. She collects $450 just six times: $2,700. Same $24,500 contributed; $2,700 less in free employer money, lost purely because of when it went in.

Figure 2 · Employer match earned during the year
This is where timing actually bites
Running total of the employer match only, month by month, for each saver in the first year.
Front-loaded Even (throughout the year)
Both savers earn the match at the same rate — $450 a month — until June. Then the front-loader hits the contribution limit and her match flatlines at $2,700, while the even saver keeps earning right through December to $5,400. That gap, every year, is what timing really costs — unless the plan fixes it.

A $2,700 gap a year, compounded for a career.

If the plan does nothing to correct that shortfall — the ordinary case, called no true-up — the front-loader simply keeps less match every year, and never gets the missing dollars or the growth they would have earned. Run both savers for 20 years against real market returns, and the small annual gap compounds into a large one.

Figure 3 · Twenty years, no true-up
The even saver pulls far ahead
401(k) balance at each year-end, with the employer match paid per month and never trued up. Same $24,500 a year from each saver.
Even (throughout the year) Front-loaded
After 20 years the even saver has about $3,470,000; the front-loader, about $3,214,000 — roughly $255,000 behind. Every dollar of that gap traces back to the forfeited match and the growth it never earned. Front-loading, here, is an expensive habit.

Fix the match, and only timing is left.

Some plans add a year-end true-up: after the year closes, the employer pays whatever match you missed, so you end up with the full $5,400 no matter how you contributed. With the match made whole, the front-loader's shortfall vanishes — and the only difference left between the two savers is timing.

Figure 4 · Twenty years, with a true-up
Now front-loading wins — but barely
The same 20 years, but the employer trues up the match to its full amount every year. Only contribution timing differs now.
Front-loaded Even (throughout the year)
With the match protected, the front-loader's earlier deposits finally pay off — about $3,511,000 versus the even saver's $3,470,000, an edge of roughly $41,000, a little over 1%. That is the pure effect of timing over 20 years: real, but small next to the $255,000 the match swing was worth.

Timing nudges your balance by about 1%. Whether your match survives your timing can swing it by a quarter-million.

Read next · What a true-up is, and why it matters

Whether your plan trues up is the single biggest factor here — bigger than timing itself. We gave it its own article: What Is a 401(k) True-Up, and Why You Need to Know, which explains how you can lose employer match without realizing it, how to check your own plan, and the simple fix if it doesn't true up.

Timing matters. What happens to your match matters more.

So, does the timing of your 401(k) contributions matter? Yes — but less than the folklore suggests. Contributing earlier genuinely helps, worth about 1% over 20 years when your match is protected. That is the pure timing effect, and it is modest.

The thing that so often travels with timing is far bigger. If your contribution pattern changes how much employer match you collect — as it does in any plan without a true-up — that can swing the outcome by a quarter-million dollars, swamping the timing effect entirely. So before you optimize the calendar, make sure every month earns its match, and find out whether your plan trues up. How that works, and what to do about it, is exactly what the true-up article is for.

About the figures

All dollar figures are computed, not estimated, and shown in nominal dollars (inflation is not modeled). A worker earns $180,000 with 3% annual raises, paid monthly, and contributes the IRS employee maximum each year — $24,500 in 2026, grown about 3% a year — for a total of $658,324 either way. The front-loader splits that total across the first six months; the even saver spreads it evenly across all twelve. The employer match is 50% of the first 6% of pay, applied each month; the true-up scenario adds a year-end payment that restores the full match. Investment growth replays actual Fama/French U.S. market monthly returns from June 2006 through May 2026 (about 11.5% a year).

Sources: 2026 IRS contribution limit; Fama/French U.S. market returns from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; true-up prevalence and mechanics are covered, with citations, in the companion true-up article. Treat the comparison as the lesson, not the exact dollars — a different salary, market path, or match rule shifts the numbers. This is a teaching tool, not financial or tax advice; check your own plan's rules before changing your contributions.

Model it yourself

The per-period figures in this article come from the 401(k) Contribution Calculator. Open it to set your own salary and contribution, switch the employer true-up on and off, and see how electing a higher percent reaches the limit sooner and changes the match you collect. To project the long-run balance, pair it with the Saving for Retirement with a 401(k) calculator.